Mamo - 2nd Ocean Energy - Bali 23052013

7/27/2019 Mamo - 2nd Ocean Energy - Bali 23052013

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Energy

Energy Sector Overview

Source:EBTKEKESDM2012


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IndonesiaEnergyOutlook:PrimaryEnergy

(BaseCase:8%GDPAvg.Growth)

Rapid increase in final energy demand (domestic) between 2010 and 2030 to support GDP growth rate averaging7.6% (base) and 10.4% (MP3EI), the baseline scenario is estimated to increase 3 times of 2010, namely close to3,000 million BOE per year, whereas in scenario MP3EI reached more than 4- fold

Energy supply in 2030 will be dominated by fossil energy sources (82%).

Coal became the main supplier of energy in the energy mix since 2015, amounting to 31% and to 38% in 2030.

The share of natural gas (Basic Scenario) decreased slightly (15.6%), but still higher than EBT (13%), and firewood(10%) in 2015.


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11/09/12

Base Case scenario: the provision of NRE grew > 8% per year; increase use of NRE > 4x f old: from 141

million BOE in 2010 to 670 million BOE in 2030.

EBT rapid growth has not been able to increase its role in t he national energy mix.

New&RenewableEnergySources

ContribuoninEnergy-Mix


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11/09/12

2030: biofuel untuk sektor transportasi menjadi pemanfaatan EBT yang utama, disusulsecara berturut turut oleh panas bumi, hidro, biomasa, nuklir, CBM, CTL, matahari, sampahdan angin, namun dalam bauran energi pangsanya hanya 17,5% (skenario Dasar) dan 14,4%(skenario MP3EI).


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ProyeksiKapasitasPembangkitListrikNasional

(OEI2012)

20102030:

peningkatan~5-7kali.

33,2GW(2010)162

GW(2030,Base,8%/th).228GW(2030,

MP3EI,10%/th)

PLTUbatubara:dominan,

2030mencapai97,6GW

(base)dan160,7GW

MP3EI).


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ProyeksiPangsaPembangkitETVsNon-ET

(OEI2012)

2010s.d.2030:PLEBT

meningkat~6x;6,639GW

Jenis:PLTP,PLTA,PLTM,

PLTBiomasa,PLTN,PLTBayu,

PLTS,PLTGB(gasifikasibatubara)sertaPembangkit

berbasissampah(W2E).

PLTPdanHidro:12GW(7%)

dan18,3GW(11%)tahun

2030.

PLTN2028sebesar2GW

(1%),dan4GW(2%)pada

2030.


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PerbandinganSkalaKe-EkonomianEBT

SkalaKeekonomianBerbagaiJenisEBT(Wahidetall,2011)

Berdasarkanskalakeekonomianrela[fdapatditentukanprioritas

pengembanganEBT


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Rapidincreaseinfinalenergydemandbetween2010and2030(Figure2)tosupportGDPgrowthrateaveraging7.6%(base)and10.4%(MP3EI),thebaselinescenario

isesmatedto3mesitsneedsin2010,namelycloseto3,000millionBOEperyear,whereasinscenarioMP3EIreachedmorethan4-fold.Theincreaseisprimarilyto

growthinindustrialandtransportaonsectors.

IntheshorttermneedsofthescenarioMP3EImagnitudeonlyslightlyhigherthanthebasescenario,butaVer2020therewasanincreaseintheneedforrapidMP3EI

scenario,upto1.5mesthebasescenario.Needsoftheindustrialsectorisdominant,ie41%in2015,andto43%in2030,followedbythetransportaonsector

increasedfrom28%in2015to35%in2030


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IndonesiaEnergySituaon:

Consump[on

Produc[on

2010 2025

Increasing concern on Fossil Fuel Oilavailability and affordability limitation madea paradigm shift in national energy policyhave to give much more role and hope toNew and Renewable Energy Sources andEnergy Efficiency in the national energy-mixin the near future.

Relatively high population growth, and a

better economic growth, give more pressureto increase the energy supply (fuel andelectricity)

Most popular RE sources: Solar PV, Pico/Micro/Mini Hydro, Bioenergy, with their ownlimitation and benefit, in particularly their sitespecific, low energy-density and intermittentprofile. However, Ocean Energy have abetter source potential, (Ocean area almost2/3 of whole Indonesia area: a MaritimeContinent) but very limited activitiesdevelopment in Indonesia. so, it can be

Letmetalkbrieflyaboutthecurrentenergysitua[oninIndonesia,whichisremaindominatedheavilybyfossilfueloilun[lnow.Indonesiaalreadyanetoil

importersincealmostadecadeago.Therefore,theNewandRenewableEnergysourcesandalsoEnergyefficiencyshouldsubs[tutetheFossilfueloilassoonandas

muchaspossible.Increasing concern on Fossil Fuel Oil availability and affordability limitation made a paradigm shift in national energy policy have to

give much more role and hope to New and Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Efficiency in the national energy-mix in the near future........ etc


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LowCarbonEnergyDevelopment&

BPPTsExperiences(1980now)

BPPThasbeendevelopingenergytechnologytosupport

sustainableenergyformorethan30years;However,the

relatedtechnologyremainsintheirpre-commercializa[on

stage.

Implementa[onoflowcarbonenergyinIndonesiahasnot

take-offduetonontechnologybarriers,suchas

condi[onsinthedownstreamandnonintegra[onof

upstreamandprocessofLowCarbonEnergy

development,almostalltypesofRenewableEnergy

source;suchasSolar(PV&Thermal),Micro/MiniHydro,

BiomassEnergy,Biofuels,WindEnergy,OceanEnergy

(OTEC,Wave,Current),etc.

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Formorethan30years,BPPThasbeenac[velyengagedinthedevelopmentofsustainableenergyintheformofrenewableenergyandlowcarbonenergy

development.Manytechnologiesinvolvedinthedevelopmentac[vi[es,buttheircommercialliza[onthroughproperindustrializa[onremainnotexistant.

Ontheotherhand,however,implementa[onandapplica[onofsustainableenergyandlowcarbonenergyinIndonesiahasnotbeenverysuccesfulduetothe

inadequatesupportinthedownstreamandnon-integra[onofupstreamandprocess,suchasbiofuels,biomassenergyandcleancoalenergy.


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OTECBali(Design)

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1979:

PilotPlantBio-Ethanol&energyPlanta[on

1990: 20062010:

EnergyEfficiencyApplica[ons&AuditinEnergyIntensiveIndustries

2012-19952003

-PVApplica[ons&Pilo[ngs(Housing,Rural,Pumping,etc)

-SolarThermalTimberDrying

WindEnergyTechnology(LowVelocity) Biomass/

BiogasPowerGenera[on

SmallGeothermalPowerPlantPrototyping

1985:

-Solarillage

Project

RenewableEnergyIndonesiaProject

-SolarThermalPump

PVTes[ng Facility/Lab.

BiomassGasifica[on

PVHybridPilo[ng

MicroturbineCogenera[onAppl.Proj.

SolarAgroDrying

BiohydrogenProduc[on

SmartGrid

MicrohydroPilo[ng

Geothermal Pilotplant

OceanCurrentPrototyping

PVIndustryFeasibilityAssessment

BiofuelsforTransportaon

BiodieselPlantDev.

OWCPrototype(Baron)

LetmeshowyouBPPTs[melineac[vi[esonRETusingthisslide.Asshown,BPPThasbeganac[veinRETasearlyas1979,ayearaeritsestablished.Manyofthem

werediscon[nue,howeversomeofthemremaincon[nueun[lnow,suchasinthefieldofSolarEnergy,mainlyinPhotovoltaic,Biofuel:BioethanolandBiodiesel,

etc.Someac[vi[esrelatedtoOceanEnergyarehilighted


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IndonesiaArchipelago:aMarimeConnent


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SourcePotenalMapping:

Source:Rayet.al.(2005):ABriefOverview

ofTidesintheIndonesiaSeas


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R&D:OceanCurrentPowerGeneraon

(OCPG)Prototype(2010-2011)

Consistofseveralac[vi[es:

SourcePoten[alMapping(Numerical

Model&Measurement)

DesignEngineering

Fabrica[onandLaboratoriumTest

FieldTest


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LocaonsofNumericalMappingStudyResults

1. SelayarStrait

2. TominiBay

3. LembehStrait

4. AlasStrait

5. BaliStrait

6. NusaPenida(Ceningan)Strait7. SapeStrait

8. LombokStrait

9. LintaStraitandMoloStrait(P.FloresP.Komodo)

10. FloresStrait,LewotobiStrait,SelatSolorStrait

11. DampierStraitandSeleStrait(Sorong)

12. KuruduStraitandDomboStrait(CendrawasihBay)


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Recommendaons

ComparetotheothertypeofRenewableEnergy(RE)sources,theocean

energytechnologyseemslackbehind.However,almostalloftheRE

technologys[llintheearlystageofitscommercialapplica[onsin

Indonesia.Therefore,theOceanEnergytechnologydevelopmentcouldbe

acceleratedtojointheefforttogiveusthesocalledlow-carbonenergysupplyforthesustainabledevelopmentandsociety.

Atpresentstage,thesourcespoten[alMappingverycrucialtoaccelerate

thedissemina[onoftheOceanEnergytechnology,morover,aspa[al

approachneedtobeaddedduetovariousac[vi[es(transporta[on,

fishery,etc)presentinthesameareaorloca[ons.

Integra[onwiththeelectricitydistribu[onsystem:MicroandSmartGrid

technologydevelopmentnowadayscangivebenefittoacceleratethe

OceanEnergydevelopmentandneedtobeintegrated


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TerimaKasih

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Mamo - 2nd Ocean Energy - Bali 23052013

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