Raleigh OFF 2Q11[1]
Transcript of Raleigh OFF 2Q11[1]
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8/6/2019 Raleigh OFF 2Q11[1]
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Stats on the Go
OverviewAs of the second quarter 2011, the Triangle office market continued
the path to recovery, boasting another quarter of positive absorption
and decreased overall vacancy rates across the nineteen submarkets.
The positive outlook is due to a slowly improving national economy
as well as a local economy that has remained strong throughout the
recession over the past three years. The Triangle market continues to
lead the nation in many surveyed categories and is consistently
awarded the recognition of Best Place to do Business by Forbes
Magazine.
The US Census reports that the Raleigh-Cary market is the fastest
growing metro area in the country. The combined population of
North Carolinas capital city and Cary increased to 1.1 million a 4.3
percent increase according to the US Census Bureau data. Charles
Hayes, chief executive of the Research Triangle Regional
Partnership, said the Raleigh area has experienced steady growth,
especially from the clusters its recruiters focus on, such as green
technology, advanced medical care, biotechnology, and
pharmaceuticals. Those sectors have resulted in more than 11,000
new job announcements since January 2009, compared with about
3,000 for non-cluster sectors, Hayes said.
Vacancy RateApproximately 13.9% of the Triangle office inventory was vacant at
the end of the second quarter 2011. The rate is down from the 14.9%
vacancy rate this time last year. The improvement has been due to
lack of new development in the pipeline with no significant new
construction being delivered in the first two quarters of 2011.
Coupling no new construction deliveries with increased absorption,
the future of the Triangle market looks to continue tightening.
Absorption Net demand outpaced net contractions equaling in an overall direct
absorption increase of 153,326 square feet (sf) for the yearto-date. A
majority of this increase was due to increased levels of leasing activity
in the RTP/RDU and Glenwood / Creedmoor submarkets. Major
transactions included Inspire Pharmaceuticals absorbing 48,442 sf inthe Glenwood/Creedmoor submarket, Computer Sciences Corporation
absorbing 30,000 sf and two new tenants leasing 26,358 sf in the
RTP/RDU submarket, the Triangles largest submarket boasting over
12,782,432 sf of inventory.
OutlookAs shown in the Under Construction vs. Completions graph below,
new construction steadily declined over the past four years and is now
non-existent. Although the Triangle market is experiencing decreasing
vacancy and positive absorption, significant new construction is not
likely to occur until that trend continues for at least another year.
Overall asking rents have been slowly trending down, but not
significantly. They are only down 3.5% from 2008. However,
effective rents are down as landlords offer concessions such as free
rent and tenant improvement dollars. Asking rents should stay flat,
and effective rents will rise as the economy improves and concessions
become less common.
Under Construction vs.Completions
OverallRental vs. Vacancy Rates
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
YTD
Under Construction Completions
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F
5.0%
7.0%
9.0%
11.0 %
13.0%
15.0%
17.0%
Rent Vacancy2Q10 2Q11 Y-o-Y
change12 monthForecast
OverallVacancy
14.9% 13.9% -1.0pp
Direct AskingRents
$19.53 $19.46 -0.4%
YTD LeasingActivity (sf)
2,373,299 1,362,404 -42.6%
RALEIGH
2Q11
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* The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy orcompleteness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal withoutnotice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2011 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
Thalhimer
3131 RDU Center Drive, Suite 140, Morrisville, NC 27560 (919) 576-2680 www.thalhimer.com
RALEIGHOFFICE REPORT
2Q11
Market/Submarket Statistics
Market Hi hli hts
Ma rk e t / Su bm ark e t In ve n to ry
Overall
Vacancy
Rate
Direct
Vacancy
Rate
YTD
Leasing
Activity
Under
Construction
YTD
Construction
Completions
YTD
Direct
Absorption
YTD
Overall
Absorption
Overall Wtd.
Avg. All Classe s
Gross Rental
Rate*
Direct Wt
Avg. Class
Gross Ren
Rate*
Downtown Durham 3,795,317 7.7% 7.5% 21,206 0 0 (70,158) (67,572) $20.26 $23
Downtown Raleigh 4,374,209 5.2% 4.8% 43,561 0 0 (45,368) (45,368) $20.63 $22
C BD 8,169,526 6.3% 6.0% 64,767 0 0 (115,526) (112,940) $20.45 $22
6 For ks Falls of Neuse 7,374,573 15.0% 14.6% 366,873 0 15,500 (62,519) (60,717) $19.76 $22
Cary 7,321,622 12.7% 12.2% 155,703 0 0 86,323 118,354 $18.76 $20
Chatham County 142,385 26.4% 26.4% 0 0 0 (10,583) (10,583) $18.22 $18
East Raleigh 1,015,343 1.2% 1.2% 0 87,000 0 0 2,000 $15.06
Franklin County 117,579 11.0% 11.0% 0 0 0 0 0 $15.61
Glenwood/Creedmoor 2,724,392 11.9% 11.9% 94,947 0 0 89,640 92,708 $19.60 $22
Johnston County 584,586 10.5% 10.5% 0 0 0 13,600 13,600 $15.05 $20
North Durham 1,326,228 30.9% 30.5% 0 0 0 (46,496) (46,496) $16.29
Northeast Wake County 312,713 10.2% 10.2% 28,189 0 0 785 785 $21.13
Orange County 1,996,594 14.9% 14.9% 23,123 0 0 34,783 33,320 $24.18 $25
Person County 34,875 12.9% 12.9% 0 0 0 0 0 N/A
Route 1 2,669,872 17.3% 15.8% 81,634 0 0 9,943 (15,478) $19.17 $21
RTP /RDU 12,782,432 17.3% 16.4% 237,144 50,304 86,968 185,394 168,160 $18.68 $20
South Durham 3,819,133 21.6% 21.4% 37,116 0 0 40,688 41,354 $20.14 $20
Southeast Wake County 740,447 6.0% 3.6% 0 0 0 (5,175) (5,175) $14.53
Southwest Wake County 419,652 13.7% 13.7% 5,700 0 0 2,653 2,653 $18.83 $22
West Raleigh 7,990,387 11.4% 10.8% 267,208 0 0 (70,184) (94,134) $20.36 $22
NO N-C B D 51,372,813 15.1% 14.5% 1,297,637 137,304 102,468 268,852 240,351 $19.24 $21
RALEIGH TO TAL 59,542,339 13.9% 13.3% 1,362,404 137,304 102,468 153,326 127,411 $19.32 $21
* Rental rates reflect asking $psf/year.
SIGNIFICANT 2Q11 LEASE TRAN SACTIONS
BUILDING SUBM A RKET TENA NT SQUA RE FEET BUILDING CLA SS
5565 Centerview Drive West Raleigh N /A 18,048 A
1500 W Perimeter Park D rive RT P/RDU RadarFind 17,067 A
8540 Colonnade Center D rive 6 Forks Falls of N euse Jubilant Clinsy s 13,441 A
SIGNIFICANT 2Q11 SALE TRAN SACTIONS
BUILDING M A RKET BUYER SQUA RE FEET PURCHA SE PRICE
4201 Lake Boone T rail West Raleigh H ighw oods Prop erties 47,754 $9,000,000
2609 N D uke Street North Durham D uke University 30,464 $3,800,000
SIGNIFICANT 2Q11 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONSBUILDING M A RKET M A JOR TENA NT SQUA RE FEET COM PLETION DA TE
7025 K it Creek Road RT P/RDU Cisco 86,968 2Q11
11001 Raven Ridge Drive 6 Forks Falls of N euse N /A 15,500 2Q11
SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CO NSTRUCTION/RENOVATION
BUILDING M A RKET M A JOR TENA NT SQUA RE FEET COM PLETION DA TE
23 Sunny brook Road East Raleigh N /A 87,000 2Q12
6523 N C-55 RT P/RDU T riangle Brick 26,367 3Q11
2001 Carrington M ill Road RT P/RDU T he Chef's A cademy 23,937 3Q11