Probabilistyka WykÅad 1w12.pwr.wroc.pl/lmg/wp-content/uploads/KM/Probabilistyka_W3.pdf · ð =...
Transcript of Probabilistyka WykÅad 1w12.pwr.wroc.pl/lmg/wp-content/uploads/KM/Probabilistyka_W3.pdf · ð =...
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limð¥âââ
ð¹ ð¥ = 0 limð¥ââ
ð¹ ð¥ = 1
ð¹: â â [0,1]
ð¹ ð¥ = ðð ð †ð¥ , ð¥ â â
-
1
x
F(x) ð ð¥ =ðð¹(ð¥)
ðð¥
xð¹ ð¥ =
ââ
ð¥
ð ð¥ ðð¥
-
1) ð(ð¥) ⥠0
2)
ââ
+â
ð ð¥ ðð¥ = 1
ðð ð < ð < ð =
ð
ð
ð ð¥ ðð¥
ðð ð < ð =
ââ
ð
ð ð¥ ðð¥
-
ðð = ðžðð =
ââ
+â
ð¥ðð ð¥ ðð¥
ðð = ðžðð =
ð=1
ð
ð¥ððPr(ð = ð¥ð)
x
ðð = ðž(ð â ðžð)ð
ð2 = ð·2ð = ðžð2 â (ðžð)2
ð = ð2
m
s
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ðœðÅŒððð ð = ðð + ð, ð¡ð
ðœðÅŒððð ð, ð ð Ä ðððð§ðððÅŒðð, ð¡ð
ðœðÅŒððð ð = ðð + ðð, ð¡ð
ðžð = ððžð + ð
ðž(ðð) = ðžð â ðžð
ðžð = ððžð + ððžð
ð·2ð = ð2ð·2ð
ð·2ð = ð2ð·2ð + ð2ð·2ð
ðœðÅŒððð ð = ð ð , ð¡ð ðžð = ðž ð ð =
ââ
+â
ð ð¥ ð ð¥ ðð¥
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x
1 2 3
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x
ϵ
ðððð§Pr(ð †ð¥ð) ⥠ð Pr ð ⥠ð¥ð ⥠1 â ð
ð¹ ð¥ð = ð 1
1 xp 6 x
F(x)
p
xp
ââ
ð¥ð
ð ð¥ ðð¥ = ð
-
xX1/2
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ðð ð = ð¥1 = ð ðð ð = ð¥1 = ð ððð§ðð ð + ð = 1
ð = 1 â ð
ðžð = ð¥1 â ð + ð¥2 â ð = ð¥1 â ð + ð¥2 â (1 â ð)
BB: ðð ð = ð¥1 â ðð ð = ð¥1 = ð2
CC: ðð ð = ð¥2 â ðð ð = ð¥2 = (1 â ð)2
BC: ðð ð = ð¥1 â ðð ð = ð¥2 = ð(1 â ð)
CB: ðð ð = ð¥2 â ðð ð = ð¥1 = 1 â ð ð
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BB: ðð ð = ð¥1 â ðð ð = ð¥1 = ð2
CC: ðð ð = ð¥2 â ðð ð = ð¥2 = (1 â ð)2
BC: ðð ð = ð¥1 â ðð ð = ð¥2 = ð(1 â ð)
CB: ðð ð = ð¥2 â ðð ð = ð¥1 = 1 â ð ð
ð2 + 1 â 2ð + ð2 + ð â ð2 + ð â ð2 = 1
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ðð ð = ð =ð
ððð(1 â ð)ðâð
-
ðž ð¥ð = 1 â ð + 0 â 1 â ð = ð
ð¥ =
ð
ð¥ð
ðž ð¥ =
ð=1
ð
ðž(ð¥ð) = ð=1
ð
ð = ðð
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ð·2 ð¥ð = ðž(ð¥ð)2 â (ðž ð¥ð )
2
ðž(ð¥ð)2 = 12 â ð + 02 â (1 â ð) = ð
ð·2 ð¥ð = ð â ð2 = ð(1 â ð)
ð·2 ð¥ = ðð(1 â ð) = ððð
ð=1
ð
ð·2(ð¥ð) =ðð·2(ð¥ð) =
-
ðð ð = ð =ðððâð
ð!
ðžð = ð ð·2ð = ð ðð â ð +1
3+
0,02
ð
-
1
ð â ð
0 a bx
f(x)
ââ
+â
ð ð¥ ðð¥ = 1
ð
ð
ð ð¥ ðð¥ = 1
ð ð¥
ð
ð
ðð¥ = ð ð¥ ð â ð = 1
ð ð¥ =
1
ð â ðððð ð¥ â [ð, ð]
0 ððð ððð§ðð ð¡ðÅðŠðâ ð¥
-
ð¹ ð¥ =
ââ
ð¥
ð ð¥ ðð¥
ð
ð¥1
ð â ððð¥ =
1
ð â ð
ð
ð¥
ðð¥ = ð¥
ð â ð
ð¥ð
=ð¥ â ð
ð â ð
ð¹ ð¥ =
ððð ð¥ â (ââ, ð)
=
ââ
ð¥
0ðð¥ = 0
ððð ð¥ â [ð, ð)
ð¹ ð¥ =
ððð ð¥ â [ð, +â)
ð
ð1
ð â ððð¥ +
ð
+â
0ðð¥ = ð¥
ð â ððð
=ð â ð
ð â ð= 1
-
1
ð â ðð¹ ð¥ =
0 ððð ð¥ < ðð¥ â ð
ð â ðððð ð †ð¥ < ð
1 ððð ð¥ ⥠ð
0 a bx
f(x)
0 a bx
F(x)
1
EX
ðžð =ð + ð
2
ð·2ð =(ð â ð)2
12
-
ð ð¥ = 0 ððð ð¥ < 0
ððâðð¥ ððð ð¥ ⥠0, ð > 0
x
f(x)
ðžð =1
ðð·2ð =
1
ð2
ð¹ ð¥ = 0 ððð ð¥ < 0
1 â ðâðð¥ ððð ð¥ ⥠0, ð > 0
F(x)
x
-
ð ð¥ =
0 ððð ð¥ < 0
ð
ð
ð¥
ð
ðâ1
ðâ( ð¥
ð)ð
ððð ð¥ ⥠0, ð > 0
-
ð¹ ð¥ = 0 ððð ð¥ < 0
1 â ðâ( ð¥
ð)ð
ððð ð¥ ⥠0, ð > 0
-
ð ð¥ =1
ð 2ðð
(âð¥âð 2
2ð2)
( , s)
(0, 1)
ð ð¥ =1
2ðð(â
ð¥2
2 )
-
ð = ð1 + ð2 + ⯠+ ððð¡ð ð ðð ððð§ðÅðð ð 0,1 ðððð§
ðžð = ðžð1 + ðžð2 + ⯠+ ðžðð
ð·2ð = ð·2ð1 + ð·2ð2 + ⯠+ ð·
2ðð
Ί ð¥ =
ââ
ð¥1
2ðð(â
ð¥2
2 )ðð¥
Ί ð¥ =1
21 + ððð
ð§
2
-
ð ð¥ =
0 ððð ð¥ < 0ðð
Î(ð)ð¥ðâ1ð(âðð¥) ððð ð¥ ⥠0, ð > 0
Î ð =
0
â
ð¥ðâ1ðâð¥ðð¥
ð¹ ð¥ =ðð
Î(ð)
0
ð¥
ð¥ðâ1 ð(âðð¥)ðð¥
ðžð =ð
ððžð2 =
ð(ð + 1)
ð2ð·2ð =
ð
ð2
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