Wzory statystyka
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Transcript of Wzory statystyka
STATYSTYKA OPISOWA
Analiza struktury
∑=
=n
i
ixn
x1
1 ∑
=
⋅=k
i
ii nxn
x1
1 ∑
=
⋅=k
i
ii nxn
x1
ˆ1
∑=
=n
i i
H
x
nx
1
1
∑=
=n
i i
i
H
x
a
nx
1
∑=
=n
i i
i
H
x
a
nx
1 ˆ
N
nx
x
k
j
jj
og
∑=
⋅
= 1
( )N
nxx
N
nxS
S
k
j
jj
k
j
jj
og
∑∑==
−
+= 1
2
1
2
2
)(
( )∑=
−=n
i
i xxn
xS1
22 1)( ( ) i
k
i
i nxxn
xS ⋅−= ∑=1
22 1)( ( ) i
k
i
i nxxn
xS ⋅−= ∑=1
22 ˆ1
)(
%100)(
)( ⋅=x
xSxV )()( 2 xSxS =
∑=
−=n
i
i xxn
xd1
1)( i
n
i
i nxxn
xd ⋅−= ∑=1
1)( i
n
i
i nxxn
xd ⋅−= ∑=1
ˆ1
)(
)()( xSxxxSx typ +<<−
{ } { }ii xxR minmax −=
( )∑=
−=n
i
i xxn
xM1
3
3
1)( ( ) i
k
i
i nxxn
xM ⋅−= ∑=1
3
3
1)( ( ) i
k
i
i nxxn
xM ⋅−= ∑=1
3
3ˆ
1)(
)(
)(3
3
3xS
xM=γ
)(xS
DxAs
−=
( ) ( ) D
DDDD
DDD x
nnnn
nnxD ∆⋅
−+−−
+=+−
−
11
1 β
β
βββ Q
Q
i xn
ncumnxQ ∆⋅
−⋅+= − )( 1
2
13 QQQ
−= %100⋅=
Me
QVQ
)()(
)()(
13
13
QMeMeQ
QMeMeQAQ −+−
−−−=
Analiza korelacji
( )( )
( ) ( )∑ ∑
∑
= =
=
−⋅−
−−=
⋅=
n
i
n
i
ii
n
i
ii
xy
yyxx
yyxx
ySxS
yxr
1 1
22
1
)()(
),cov(
r
( )( )1
6
12
1
2
−⋅
−⋅−=
∑=
nn
rr
R
t
i
yx
S %10022 ⋅= xyrR
( )∑∑= =
−=
r
i
k
j ij
ijij
n
nn
1 1
2
2
ˆ
ˆχ ,
n
nnn
ji
ij
•• ⋅=ˆ { }1,1min
2
−−⋅=
krnV
χ
2
2
χχ+
=n
C ( )( )11
2
−−=
krnT
χ )()()(( 21211122211211
21122211
nnnnnnn
nnnn
+++
−=ϕ
baxy +=ˆ 2
11
2
1 11
2 )(
),cov(
)(
)(
−
−===
∑∑
∑ ∑∑
==
= ==
n
i
i
n
i
i
n
i
n
i
i
n
i
iii
xy
xxn
yxyxn
xS
yx
xS
ySra xayb −=
dcyx +=ˆ 2
11
2
1 11
2 )(
),cov(
)(
)(
−
−===
∑∑
∑ ∑∑
==
= ==
n
i
i
n
i
i
n
i
n
i
i
n
i
iii
xy
yyn
yxyxn
yS
yx
yS
xSrc ycxd −=
( )
22
ˆ
)( 1
2
1
2
2
−=
−
−=
∑∑==
n
u
n
yy
uS
n
i
i
n
i
ii
( )
( ) )(
)()(ˆ
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
yS
uS
n
kn
yy
yy
n
i
ii
n
i
ii
⋅−
=−
−=
∑
∑
=
=ϕ 22 1 ϕ−=R
Analiza dynamiki
ctct yyd −=/ 1/ −−= ctct yyd
c
ctct
y
yy −=∆ /
1
11/
−
−−
−=∆
t
tttt
y
yy
c
tct
y
yi =/
1
1/
−− =
t
ttt
y
yi
1
1
11/
11/2/31/2 ... −−−− ==⋅⋅⋅= n
nnn
nnng
y
yiiiii
∑
∑
∑
∑
=
=
=
=
⋅
⋅===
n
i
ii
n
i
itit
n
i
i
n
i
it
tw
qp
qp
w
w
w
wI
1
00
1
1
0
1
0
F
q
F
p
L
q
P
p
P
q
L
pw IIIIIII ⋅=⋅=⋅=
∑
∑
∑
∑
=
=
=
= =⋅
⋅=
n
i
n
i
p
n
i
ii
n
i
iitL
p
w
iw
qp
qp
I
1
0
1
0
1
00
1
0
∑
∑
∑
∑
=
=
=
= =⋅
⋅=
n
i p
t
n
i
t
n
i
iti
n
i
ititP
p
i
w
w
qp
qp
I
1
1
1
0
1
P
p
L
p
F
p III ⋅=
∑
∑
∑
∑
=
=
=
= =⋅
⋅=
n
i
n
i p
t
n
i
ii
n
i
itiL
q
w
i
w
qp
qp
I
1
0
1
1
00
1
0
∑
∑
∑
∑
=
=
=
= =⋅
⋅=
n
i
p
n
i
t
n
i
iit
n
i
ititP
q
iw
w
qp
qp
I
1
0
1
1
0
1
P
q
L
q
F
q III ⋅=
Trend
baty +=ˆ ( )∑ ∑
∑∑ ∑
= =
== =
−⋅
⋅−⋅=
n
t
n
t
n
t
t
n
t
n
t
t
ttn
yttyn
a
1 1
22
11 1
tayb −=
( )
22
ˆ
)( 1
2
1
2
2
−=
−
−=
∑∑==
n
u
n
yy
uS
n
i
t
n
t
tt
( )
( )∑
∑
=
=
−
−=
n
t
tt
n
t
tt
yy
yy
1
2
1
2
2
ˆ
ϕ
22 1 ϕ−=R
( )
( )∑=
−
−++⋅=
n
t
p
tt
tT
nuSyS
1
2
21
1)()(
( )∑=
−=in
i
tt
i
i yyn
O1
ˆ1
01
=∑= i
d
i
O ∑=
=in
i t
t
i
iy
y
nS
1 ˆ
1 dS
i
d
i
=∑=1
)ˆ( ittt Oyyz +−= ittt Syyz ⋅−= ˆ
ip ObaTy ++= )( ip SbaTy ⋅+= )(
( )
( )∑=
−
−++⋅=
n
t
i
tp
tt
tT
nzSyS
1
2
21
1)()( %100
ˆ
)(⋅=
p
p
wy
ySb
2)( 1
2
2
−=∑=
n
z
zS
n
t
t
t
Rachunek prawdopodobieństwa
)()( xXPxF <= ∑<
=xx
i
i
pxF )( ∫∞−
=x
dttfxF )()(
∑=
⋅=n
i
ii pxXE1
)( ∫∞
∞−
⋅= dxxfxXE )()(
[ ]∑=
⋅−=n
i
ii pXExXD1
22 )()( [ ]∫∞
∞−
⋅−= dxxfXExXD )()()(22
[ ]22 )()( XEXEXD −= ( ) [ ]222 )()( XEXEXD −=
∑=
⋅=n
i
ii pxXE1
22)( ∫∞
∞−
⋅= dxxfxXE )()( 22
)()( 2 XDXD =
ccE =)( 0)(2 =cD
)()( XEcXcE ⋅=⋅ )()( 222 XDcXcD ⋅=⋅
)()()( YEXEYXE +=+ )()()( 222 YDXDYXD +=+ dla zmiennych niezaleŜnych
)()()( YEXEYXE −=− )()()( 222 YDXDYXD +=− dla zmiennych niezaleŜnych
)()()( YEXEXYE ⋅=
dla zmiennych niezaleŜnych
)()(2)(2)()()( 222 YEXEXYEYDXDYXD −++=+
)()( xXPXF <=
)()()( aFbFbXaP −=≤≤
∑<≤
=≤≤bxa
i
i
pbXaP )( ∫=≤≤b
adxxfbXaP )()(
σmX
Z−
=
−==
p
pxXP
1)(
0
1
=
=
x
x
pXE =)(
)1()(2 ppXD −=
knkqpk
nkXP −
== )(
),1( pq −= nk ,...,2,1,0=
npXE =)(
npqXD =)(2
!)(
k
ekXP k
λ
λ−
==
pn ⋅=λ , ,...2,1,0=k
λ=)(XE
λ=)(2 XD
Estymacja przedziałowa
ασσ
αα −=
+<<− 1n
uxmn
uxP ααα −=
−+<<
−− 1
11 n
Stxm
n
StxP
ααα −=
+<<− 1n
Suxm
n
SuxP
αχ
σχ αα
−=
<<−−−
12
1,2
1
22
2
1,2
2
nn
nSnSP ασ αα −=
+<<− 122 n
SuS
n
SuSP
αρ αα −=
−
+<<−
− 111 22
n
rur
n
rurP
ααα −=
−
+<<−
− 1
)1()1(
n
n
m
n
m
un
mp
n
n
m
n
m
un
mP
2
22
d
un
σα≥ 2
22
d
Sun α≥
2
2 )1(
d
ppun
−≥ α
2
2
4d
un α≥
Testy parametryczne
00 : mmH =
00 : mmH ≠
<
>
00
00
:
:
mmH
mmH
nmx
uσ
0−= −σ znane
10 −−
= nS
mxt
,30≤n
1−n -stopni swobody
nS
mxu 0−= 30>n
2
0
2
0 : σσ =H
2
0
2
0 : σσ >H
2
0
22
σχ
nS=
,30≤n
1−n stopni swobody
122 2 −−= ku χ 1−= nk 30>n
00 : ppH =
00 : ppH ≠
<
>
00
00
:
:
ppH
ppH n
pp
pn
m
u)1( 00
0
−
−=
210 : mmH =
210 : mmH ≠
<
>
210
210
:
:
mmH
mmH
2
2
2
1
2
1
21
nn
xxu
σσ+
−=
−21,σσ znane
2
2
2
1
2
1
21
n
S
n
S
xxu
+
−=
12021 ≥+ nn
+
−++
−=
2121
2
22
2
11
21
11
2 nnnn
SnSn
xxt
12021 <+ nn
221 −+ nn stopni
swobody
2
2
2
10 : σσ =H 2
2
2
10 : σσ >H 2
2
2
1
ˆ
ˆ
S
SF =
2,1 21 −− nn - stopni
swobody
210 : ppH =
210 : ppH ≠
<
>
210
210
:
:
ppH
ppH n
qp
n
m
n
m
u 2
2
1
1 −= , gdzie:
21
21
nn
mmp
++
= , pq −=1 , 21
21
nn
nnn
+=
0:0 =ρH
0:0 ≠ρH
>
<
0:
0:
0
0
ρρ
H
H
21 2
−−
= nr
rt 122≤n
nr
ru
21−=
122>n
Testy nieparametryczne
( )∑=
−=
r
i i
ii
np
npn
1
2
2χ
)(xS
xxu
G
iG
i
−=
1−− rk stopni swobody )1()(
)2(2
12
21
2
21
212121
21
21
−++−−
−+
−=
nnnn
nnnnnn
nn
nnk
U
( )∑∑= =
−=
r
i
t
j ij
ijij
e
en
1 1
2
2χ
n
nne
ji
ij
•• ⋅= ,
)1)(1( −− kr stopni swobody