Maciej Stasiak, Mariusz Głąbowski Arkadiusz Wiśniewski, Piotr Zwierzykowski Basic Definitions and...

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Maciej Stasiak, Mariusz GłąbowskiArkadiusz Wiśniewski, Piotr Zwierzykowski

Basic Definitions and Terminology

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to

LTE

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Course – assigned reading

• M. Stasiak, M. Głąbowski, P. Zwierzykowski: Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE, John Wiley and sons Ltd., January 2011.

• Iversen V.B., ed., Teletraffic Engineering, Handbook, ITU, Study Group 2,Question 16/2 Geneva, January 2005, published on-line.

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Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Arrival stream

3

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Stochastic point process

• Possible realization of the stochastic point process

t

Tn

4

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Process parameters

• Λo intensity of arriving calls

• Pk(t)

o probability of k calls arrival within time interval of length t

• f(t)o inter-arrival time distribution

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

6

Arrival Poisson processes properties

• Stationarityo stream intensity is not time-dependable

o λ(t)= λ =const

• Memorylessness (independence of all time instants)

o number of arrivals occurring within the time interval t1 is independent of the number of arrivals occurring within the time interval t2

• Singularityo in a given time point only one arrival can occur

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

7

Lack of memory property

• Distribution function of time interval between consecutive calls (inter-arrival time) is exponential function:

• We assume that inter-arrival time interval is equal to t. Let us determine the conditional probability so that this interval lasts for at least time τ.

• So, we can

)( tTTP

)()()( tTTPtTPtTP

tetTPtF 1)()(

0 t+t T

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

8

Lack of memory property

• Taking into account the distribution function we have

• The conditional probability have to receive the following value:

)()( TPetTTP

)( tTTP

)()( tTTPee tt >>= -+- tltl

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

9

)()(1 ttPi

0)(

lim0

t

tt

)()(1 tttP

)(1)(0 tttP

Singularity property

• Let us consider time interval Δt → 0. It results from the singularity property that probability of appearance of more then one arrivals within the time interval Δt is going towards 0:o where q(Dt) is infinitely small value if compared with Δt

• Elementary probabilities:

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

10

Poisson stream parameter

• The flow parameter L(t) at time point t is defined as the limit of quotient:

Probability of appearing at least one arrival within time interval Dt+ t

time interval length Dt ® 0:

t

tt

t

tP

t

ttPt

ttt

)(lim

)(lim

)(lim)(

0

1

0

1

0

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

11

Poisson stream - characteristics

• Probability of appearance of k arrivals at time t:

• for k=0 i k=1 we receive:

,!

)()( t

k

k ek

ttP

tetP )(0ttetP )(1

t

Tnk

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

12

Poisson stream – characteristics

• Inter-arrival time distribution:

• Mean value and variance of inter-arrival time:

• Peakedness coefficient:

,)( tetf

.1/2 TT mZ

/1)(0

dttftmT

22

0

22 /1)(

TT mdttft

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Streams operations

• Superposition of Poisson streams

• Random decomposition of Poisson stream

.213

.12 p

Strumieñ 1

Strumieñ 2

Strumieñ 3

Stream 1

Stream 2

Stream 3

Strumieñ 1p p p p

1-p1-p 1-p1-p

Stream 1

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

14

Streams operations

• Erlang k-decomposition

o inter-arrival time distribution

o mean value of inter-arrival time

o variance of inter-arrival time

o disorder coefficient

Strumieñ 1

T1

T2

T3

T

Stream 1

Stream 2

,)!1(

)()(

1t

k

ek

ttf

,/ kmT

,/ 22 kT

./1/2 kmZ TT

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

15

Markov process definition

• A stochastic process is called the Markov process when the future trajectory of the process depends only on the present state S(t0) at the time point t0 , but is independent of how this state has been obtained.

t

przeszłość przyszłośćt0

t < t t > t0 0

past future

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Markov process in the M/M/2 system

• A service process in the M/M/2 system (trunk group with two channels) is the Markov process when:o Arrival process is the Poisson process, o Service time has exponential distribution.

States

0

1

2

time

Trajectory of the service process in M/M/2 system

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Service stream

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Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Trajectory of the Markov process

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Exponential service time

• Distribution function:

• Density function:

• Mean value and variance:

tetTPtF 1)()(

tedt

tdFtf

)()(

/1)(0

dttfth

22

0

22 /1)(

hdttfth

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Service stream

• At time point t there are k servers busy. The probability of service termination in i servers within Δt time-interval can be determined on the basis of Bernoulli distribution for i successful events, when total number of events is equal to k:

• Probability of service termination in one server within Δt time-interval:

ikii PP

i

ktkP

)1(),(

tetTPtFP 1)()(

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Service stream

• For i=0 we obtain the probability of the event that within, time interval Δt, there are no terminations among k busy servers:

• Termination probability by at least one server:

• P1 (Δt ) decomposition (into series):

• Service stream parameter:

tketkP ),(0

tketkPtP 1),(1)( 01

)(!

)()()( ttkj

1tk11e1t

0j

jjtk1

1P

mDDq

mND

kt

tkt

0t=ú

û

ùêë

é+=

®

)(lim)(

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Markov proces

22

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Birth and death process in M/M/2 system

• state 0 all links are free• state 1 one busy link• state 2 two links are busy

blocking state

m

l

0 1

2m

l

2 1

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Birth and death process in M/M/2 system

• Infinite number of traffic sources• Finite number of busy servers

m

l

0 1

2m

l

2 1

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

25

Kolmogorov equations

• Determination of the probability P0(t + Δt)

• Events within time Δt:o Was in state "0" and transferred into state "1": λ Δt o Was in state "0" and remained in state "0": 1- λ Δt o Was in state "1" and transferred into state "0": μ Δt

t

t

0 1 1- t

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Kolmogorov equations

Was in state "0" and remained in state "0"

).()()(

),()()()(

,)(1)()(

100

1000

100

tPtPdt

tdP

tPtPt

tPttP

ttPttPttP

t

t

0 1 1- t

Was in state "1" and transferred into state "0"

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Kolmogorov equations

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Kolmogorov equations

• Solution:

Solution of Koplmogorov equations in M/M/2/0 system for λ=μ=1, P0(0)=1

P (t)0

P (t)1

P (t)2t0 1 2

1

0.2

0.4

0.6

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Steady-state distribution

0)(

)(lim dt

tdPtPp i

itVi

.1

,

,02

02)(

,0

222120

2221

222120

2120

ppp

pp

ppp

pp

.

!2

)/(

!1

)/(1

!)/(

212

ip

i

i

Probability calculations: Solution

In the steady-state regime of the process, the state probabilities arenot time-dependable

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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a) b)

0 1 2

Steady states

• Interpretation of the probability [Pi]V:

• The state probability is interpreted as the proportion of the time in which the system remains in state i:

n timeobservatio

statein spent timelim

iP

timenobservatioi

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Stream value in state i

Stream value in the state i for : t

ii Pi

n timeobservatio

statein spenttimeintensity stream

iP

ii Pll =

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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a) b)

0 1 2

State equations in the system M/M/2

• For the M/M/2/0 system state equations take the following form:

.1

,

,02

02)(

,0

222120

2221

222120

2120

ppp

pp

ppp

pp

In state i:

Sum of incoming streams = sum of outgoing streams

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Generalized birth and death process

• State transition diagram:

1 2

0

1

1

2

2

3

0

i -1

i

i+1i

i

i +1

i +2

i +1

0

1111

2211100

1100

.1

,,0)(

,

,0)(

,0

iVi

ViiViiiVii

VVV

VV

p

ppp

ppp

pp

so:

0

11

2211

1100

.1

,,

,

,

,

iVi

ViiVii

VV

VV

p

pp

pp

pp

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Local balance equation

• Streams between neighboring states are in equilibrium

• Process solution

i i+1

i

i+1

ViiVii pp 11

k

iVkV

i

iV

k

kVk pCppp

100

10

21

110

0

0 /1k

kV Cpwhere:

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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a) b)

0 1 2

Local balance equation in M/M/2

1

,2

,

222120

2221

2120

ppp

pp

pp

12

1

,2

,

20

2022

2021

p

pp

pp

21

120p

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Concept of Traffic

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Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Telecommunication traffic

• Traffic as a process of capacity units occupancy

where n(t) – number of occupied units at time T

• Units: o 1 SM (speech-minutes)

o 1 Eh (Erlang-hour)

o 1 Eh = 60 SM

T

ttnTA0

vol d)()(

37

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Telecommunication traffic intensity

• Traffic intensity:

o where n(t) – number of occupied units at time T

• Units: 1 Erlang ( 1 Erl.) o 1 Erlang = 1 call serviced during time t when observation

time is equal to t

T

ttn

A

T

0

d

38

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Telecommunication traffic and traffic intensity

321

00

vol d1d tttttttnTATT

Traffic volume:

Traffic intensity:

T

ttt

T

TAA 321vol

service time service time

t1 t3t2

T

service time

39

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Traffic intensity

service time service time

t1 t3t2

T

service time

t1 t3t2

T

busy time idle time

T=100% =time unit

% of idle time% of busy time

unittime

occupancyunittimeoffraction321

T

t

T

tttA busy

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Traffic intensity

• Parameters:o V=4 - number of channels,o N=5 - number of time periods,o tobs=5T - period under

consideration,o ti,j - occupancy of the j-th

channel during the i-th time period

o - call intensityo h - mean service time.

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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.25

)12214(/)1.(

1 1., Erl

T

TttDefA

N

i

V

jobsji

t

1T 2T 3T 4T 5T0

Traffic intensity Def. 1

• Traffic intensity is equal to the average number of simultaneously occupied channels during a given period of time under considerations.

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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.25

)3223(/)2.(

1 1., Erl

T

TttDefA

N

i

V

jobsji

t

1T 2T 3T 4T 5T0

Traffic intensity Def. 2

• Traffic intensity is the ratio of the sum of channel occupancy time during a given period of time under considerations with respect to this period.

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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t

1T 2T 3T 4T 5T0

.28

10

5

8)3.( Erl

T

TchDefA

Traffic intensity Def. 3

• The product of the average number of o calls (offered traffic)

o connections (carried traffic)

• per time unit and the average time of connection.

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

t

1T 2T 3T 4T 5T0

Traffic intensity Def. 4

The mean number of calls (connections) per mean service time

offered traffic carried traffic

.28

10

5

8)4.( Erl

T

TsDefA

45

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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SystemtelekomunikacyjnyRuch oferowany Ruch obsłużony

Ruch tracony

A Y

A’

'AYA

SystemOffered traffic Carried traffic

Rejected traffic

ATTENTION!Conventionally, under the notion of traffic we understand traffic intensity

Kinds of traffic

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Kinds of traffic

• Carried traffic o the traffic carried by the group of servers during the time

interval T

• Offered traffic o the traffic which would be carried if no calls were rejected

due to lack of the capacity, i.e. unlimited number of servers. The offered traffic is a theoretical value and it cannot be measured

• Lost (rejected) traffic o the difference between offered traffic and carried traffic

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Quality of service in telecommunication

systems

48

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Call and packet level in networks

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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),(

),(),(

),(

),(),(

21

2121

21

2121 ttN

ttNttN

ttN

ttNttB

offerd

carriedoffered

offered

lost

Concept of blocking

• Call congestion (Call loss probability) B(t1, t2 ) in time interval (t1, t2) is the fraction of all calls which are rejected due to lack of capacity Nlost(t1, t2 ) with respect to all calls which are offered in the system Noffered(t1, t2 )

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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),(

),(),(

21

2121 ttT

ttTttE blocking

Concept of blocking

• Time congestion (Blocking probability) E(t1, t2 ) in time interval (t1, t2) is the fraction of the time Tblocking(t1 , t2) when all servers are busy with respect to the total time of observation T(t1, t2)

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Basic notions and parameters

• Traffic load capacityo the value of the offered traffic (traffic intensity) which can be

serviced with the adopted value of blocking probability (loss probability)

• Loado the value of the carried traffic (traffic intensity) in the system

• Blocking o the state of system in which a call arriving at the input of the

system cannot be serviced due to occupancy of all servers in the system

• Throughput o the probability of event that the given call will be serviced in the

system

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

Quality of service in communication systems (QoS)

• Packet delay (cell delay)o A delay considered between the moment of sending and

receiving the packet (in appropriate nodes)

• Delay parameters (for example of ATM network)

o CDTmean - Mean Cell Transfer Delay - statistical average delay of packet

o CTDmax - Maximum Cell Transfer Delay – maximum delay of packet, guaranteed by network with probability 1-α

o CDVpeak-peak - Peak to Peak Cell Delay Variation – maximum delay decreased by constant system delay (i.e. propagation time, processing time in node)

53

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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constant max delay variation

max delay

Del

ay d

istr

ibut

ion

α= loss ratio

delay

1-α

Quality of service in communication systems

(QoS)

• Interpretation of delay parameters

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Reasons for networks delay

• Constant and independent of network loado propagation time in physical layer

o processing time in network node

o minimum time the node wait for packet acknowledgement

o bit rate of outgoing link bigger than incoming link

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Reasons for networks delay

• Dependent on network loado queuing in the buffers

o queuing discipline,

o priorities for given packet classes

o mechanisms for packet streams shaping

o resources reservation for given packet classes

server

outgoing stream

buffer

incoming stream

Modeling and Dimensioning of Mobile Networks: from GSM to LTE

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Kinds of traffic at the packet level

• In majority of packet networks kinds of traffic are associated with parameters of offered services

•  We can always distinguish the following traffic streamso  Constant bit rate traffic

o Variable bit rate traffic• stream traffic, constant parameters of transmission• adaptive traffic• elastic traffic